WTO 뉴라운드 서비스협상에 따른 우리나라 서비스산업의 개방효과

Abstract

New Round Service Negotiation is one of the built-in-agenda which is scheduled to start negotiation by 2000. With the increasing portion of service sector in world trade, the result of this negotiation would have serious impacts on Korean economy. Besides the request/offer type, the formula type is likely to be adopted in this negotiation and the scope of the negotiation covers almost all service sector. The opening of service sector would have positive spillover effects on manufacturing sectors and the transfer of advanced technology and management skill would increase. The computational general equilibrium simulation predicts the increase of real GDP, employment, and welfare through the opening of service sector. Except a few industries(such as, construction, broadcasting), employment and investment are expected to increase in most industries. However, the security net and job training needs to be expanded because some industries(such as, restaurant hotel, real estate) would suffer unemployment problem.