ScholarWorks@숙명여자대학교

초록

The Ukraine war, which began with a ‘would-be blitzkrieg’ against Ukraine by Russian troops in the early morning of February 24, 2022, has already been on-going over four months. Contrary to the initial expectation of the Russian military’s unilateral dominance, the war is prolonged due to a combination of factors such as the Ukrainian military and the people’s fierce will-to-fight, extraordinanarily speedy and comprehensive economic sanctions involving most of the Western countries, and the Russian military’s incompetence and leadership failure. No matter how the Ukraine war ends, it seems clear that it will bring about transformational changes in international politics and the global security landscape in the foreseeable future. Above all, the ROK on its part should draw an important lesson for its future military buildup strategy through a meticulous analysis of the Ukraine war, considering that it is faced with growing threat of a nuclear attack by North Korea which has dramatically increased recently, as well as that possible military threats from China and Russia, which has begun to show some ominous signs for the last several years. The purpose of this paper is to undertake analysis, based on the Ukrainian war pattern that has emerged so far, of the characteristics of Russia’s Hybrid Warfare threat and Gray Zone Strategy, which have been highlighted as major characteristics of the war since the beginning of the invasion, as well as of the situation at the time of Russia’s (illegal) annexation of Crimea in 2014, so as to compare two cases side-by-side. Through this, I will briefly discuss the implications of various characteristics of the Ukrainian war on defense innovation after looking at how the changes in the course of the Ukraine war will affect the future war or warfare.

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