시계열 자료의 관찰빈도 및 기간이 VAR 분석결과에 미치는 영향 차이 검증 - 한국 환율과 주가를 중심으로 -
Evidence of Difference on the Results of VAR Analysis Impacted the Time Frequency and Time Span of Time Series Data
Citations

WEB OF SCIENCE

0
Citations

SCOPUS

0

초록

The discussion of the relationship between macro-economic variables is very important research topic. the most economic variables discussed in connection with the liberalization of capital is the exchange rate and stock prices and these two variables have a relationship of mutual influence are identified. However, the results on the time frequency and the time span of a variable appear differently. Therefore, the purpose of this research describes a cause that the result of prior research varied and presents more reliable research methodology. In this research, when the time frequency and span varied, the VAR analysis of the exchange rate and stock prices appeared differently. So, we use the Monte Carlo simulation method in order to performing our purpose. Our research supports the existing research said the ratio that each coefficient VAR model contained 95% confidence interval of estimated coefficient in Monte Carlo simulation is higher when it is applied more the long term and frequent observation.

키워드

관찰빈도관찰기간몬테칼로 시뮬레이션Time FrequencyTime SpanVARMonte Carlo Simulation
제목
시계열 자료의 관찰빈도 및 기간이 VAR 분석결과에 미치는 영향 차이 검증 - 한국 환율과 주가를 중심으로 -
제목 (타언어)
Evidence of Difference on the Results of VAR Analysis Impacted the Time Frequency and Time Span of Time Series Data
저자
황윤섭유승직김수은
발행일
2009-03
저널명
국제지역연구
13
1
페이지
81 ~ 102