The fGARCH(1,1) as a functional volatility measure of ultra high frequency time series
함수적 변동성 fGARCH(1, 1)모형을 통한 초고빈도 시계열 변동성
  • 윤재은
  • 김종민
  • 황선영
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초록

When a financial time series consists of daily (closing) returns, traditional volatility models such as autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) are useful to figure out daily volatilities. With high frequency returns in a day, one may adopt various multivariate GARCH techniques (MGARCH) (Tsay, Multivariate Time Series Analysis With R and Financial Application, John Wiley, 2014) to obtain intraday volatilities as long as the high frequency is moderate. When it comes to the ultra high frequency (UHF) case (e.g., one minute prices are available everyday), a new model needs to be developed to suit UHF time series in order to figure out continuous time intraday-volatilities. Aue {\it et al.} (Journal of Time Series Analysis, 38, 3-21, 2017) proposed functional GARCH (fGARCH) to analyze functional volatilities based on UHF data. This article introduces fGARCH to the readers and illustrates how to estimate fGARCH equations using UHF data of KOSPI and Hyundai motor company.

키워드

함수적 변동성초고빈도 시계열함수적-GARCH 모형fGARCHultra high frequencyfunctional volatility
제목
The fGARCH(1,1) as a functional volatility measure of ultra high frequency time series
제목 (타언어)
함수적 변동성 fGARCH(1, 1)모형을 통한 초고빈도 시계열 변동성
저자
윤재은김종민황선영
DOI
10.5351/KJAS.2018.31.5.667
발행일
2018-10
저널명
응용통계연구
31
5
페이지
667 ~ 675